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View Poll Results: What will be results of assemble elections in Nov 2013?
BJP will win Rajashtan,Madhya Pradesh, Chattisgarh, Delhi. 6 54.55%
BJP will lose in Delhi and win in all other states 2 18.18%
BJP will lose in Delhi and Chattisgarh 1 9.09%
Kangrace will win Rajashtan,Madhya Pradesh, Chattisgarh, Delhi 1 9.09%
Kangrace will win in Delhi and Chattisgarh 0 0%
Kangrace will win in Delhi and Mizoram 1 9.09%
Voters: 11. You may not vote on this poll

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  #1  
Old October 5th, 2013, 03:02 AM
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Question Who will win assembly elections in 2013?

Will Narendra Modi’s magic work for the BJP in Assembly elections 2013?


Though opinion polls give the BJP the clear edge in Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh, the party’s prospects in Delhi and Chhattisgarh are slim

Updated: Fri, Oct 04 2013. 09 00 PM IST

Narendra Modi’s campaign as the Bharatiya Janata Party’s candidate as prime minister has coincided with the run up to the election campaign for the five state assemblies of Rajasthan, Delhi, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Mizoram.

His popularity, easily measured by the large audiences that have assembled to hear him in Jaipur, Rewari, Trichy, Bhopal and Delhi, has been visible. But the big question is whether Modi will be able to cash his personal popularity as votes for the BJP.

On the face of it, things are going in Modi’s favour, especially the fact that the rallies have been packed with young people—a key constituency in this election. The shift in the country’s demography means that nationally little under 50% of the voters are in the 18-35 years category; further, a fifth of the electorate is made up of first time voters.

Differences within the Congress, especially over the move to promulgate an ordinance to protect convicted lawmakers from disqualification, means that the party is not in a position to put its best foot forward. This apart, it is a fact that the Congress is battling anti-incumbency sentiment dominated by governance failure and allegations of corruption in high office.

Having dealt himself into the game, Modi has raised the stakes for himself. Though opinion polls give the BJP the clear edge in Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh, the party’s prospects in Delhi and Chhattisgarh are slim. Given Modi’s very high profile campaign, only a clean sweep will silence his critics—both within and outside the BJP.

http://www.livemint.com/Opinion/VR4k...mbly-elec.html
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Last edited by viking; October 5th, 2013 at 03:11 AM.
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  #2  
Old October 5th, 2013, 03:07 AM
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Re: Who will win assembly elections in 2013?

I am uncertain about outcomes in Delhi, but in Rajasthan, BJP should bring Maharani back to the center stage

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  #3  
Old October 5th, 2013, 06:19 AM
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Re: Who will win assembly elections in 2013?

BJP needs to do something in delhi, instead of that vijay goyal, they need to project some more credible face. otherwise it will be sheila ka budhapa again in delhi.
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  #4  
Old October 5th, 2013, 06:54 AM
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Re: Who will win assembly elections in 2013?

Quote:
Originally Posted by aragorn View Post
BJP needs to do something in delhi, instead of that vijay goyal, they need to project some more credible face. otherwise it will be sheila ka budhapa again in delhi.
These guys are getting into personality cult like Congress. Why can't they simply say that the legislators will decide it after the elections ?? Maybe the seats have really been sold out as Kejriwal alleges.
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Old October 5th, 2013, 09:00 AM
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Re: Who will win assembly elections in 2013?

The problem with BJP in Delhi is that it is dominated by Brahmins and banias.

This is a turnoff for other castes who vote for congress instead.
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Old October 5th, 2013, 09:05 AM
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Re: Who will win assembly elections in 2013?

I don't think there will be any change of guard in Delhi and Mizoram......it will be INC again.

Since i don't think the people in Delhi have realised that instead of having candle lights rally they have to vote in order to get change things and have their say count.
So i think it will be INC again in there.

But more positive about change in Rajasthan, and in Madhya Pradesh and Chattisgarh the BJP will come back to power again.
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Old October 5th, 2013, 11:40 PM
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Re: Who will win assembly elections in 2013?

Electoral defeat in any one of these sates (Raj,MP,CG and Delhi) will be tom tommed by Kangrace as a vulnerability in BJP's campaign especially so as a defeat for Narendra Modi.

They have to win Delhi and Chattisgarh at any cost.
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  #8  
Old October 6th, 2013, 01:43 AM
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Re: Who will win assembly elections in 2013?

Kiran Bedi should be projected as the BJP's CM candidate for Delhi. This will work in the BJP's favour. NaMo and Bedi combination will finish off the Kangress and stem the tide of ill informed voters to the socialist demagouge Arvind Kejriwal's Aam Admi Party.

Quote:
Two internal surveys down, here are AAP’s prospects for Delhi 2013
by Danish RazaSep 28, 2013


Four Delhi police constables ensure that the traffic is not blocked as a street play takes place in Darya Ganj, one of the upmarket neighbourhoods in central Delhi. Next to a row of juice bars, as pert of the play, ten volunteers of the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) tell a crowd of around 25 people why their party offers the city’s only hope for change.

“Isse vote mil jaayega kya? (Will this get them votes?)”, says an observers before whizzing past in an SUV.

AAP member and psephologist, Yogendra Yadav says he is not fazed by such comments.

“The upper class is still critical of us,” shrugs Yadav, who has supervised two surveys to gauge AAP’s electoral prospects in the national capital.


Can Kejriwal sweep the opposition away? AFP

According to their internal numbers, AAP will get 27 per cent of the vote share and 41 per cent voters prefer Arvind Kejriwal as the next chief minister. The new and biggest survey commissioned by the party is expected to offer a clearer picture of how it will fare in each assembly seat.

So, who are these AAP voters?

Yadav says the AAP base resembles the classic pyramid.

“Around 20 per cent of upper class has extended support to us. As we move down the economic strata, the support for the party becomes broader,” he said.

The AAP is banking heavily on the lower income strata in Delhi which has traditionally voted for the Congress. The lower middle class and low income classes in Delhi reside in unauthorised colonies, resettlement colonies and juggi jhopri clusters.

The Congress is now fiercely courting their votes with programs such as the food security scheme, ownership rights for inhabitants of resettlement colonies and regularisation of unauthorised colonies.

In the 2008 assembly election, BSP made a dent in Congress’ vote share amongst the lower income classes which influence the outcome in eleven reserved seats. The BSP’s tally increased significantly in these seats.

While the Congress retained eight of the eleven seats, one seat went to the BSP. Mayawati’s party performed third best in nine reserved seats and came second in one seat. The party’s total vote share in Delhi went up from 9 percent in the 2003 assembly election to 14 percent in 2008.

This demographic is now being targeted by the AAP in the run-up to 2013 poll. From the very beginning, the party strategy has focused on wooing the lower middle class and low income voter in Delhi, says Anand Kumar, sociologist with Jawaharlal Nehru University and AAP spokesperson.

“The protests over inflated water and power tariffs were done to address the grievances of these two classes. The idea was to hit the lowest common denominator,” says Kumar.

AAP is also counting on one other factor: age.

“People below 35 years of age have been very receptive of our messages,” Yadav said.

The Jan Lokpal movement, from which the party was carved out, enjoyed significant support among the Delhi youth. Many of the party’s campaign strategies such as the use of social media are striking a chord amongst these voters.

The AAP has also been running voter registration campaign in institutes of higher education in Delhi to tap into first time voters. More than 80 per cent of 25,000 young people polled by AAP said they will vote for the party.

But AAP is struggling with older voters. Although the AAP appeals to people across age groups, it is yet to turn the 50 plus age group in its favour.

“We don’t have an age-wise division of people who support us, but the trend is that with people above 50 years of age, we still need lot of persuasion,” Yadav said.

http://www.firstpost.com/politics/tw...3-1139367.html
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  #9  
Old October 6th, 2013, 03:28 AM
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Re: Who will win assembly elections in 2013?

yeah, i too agree they should project Kiran Bedi as CM in delhi
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Old October 6th, 2013, 06:28 AM
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Re: Who will win assembly elections in 2013?

I said this before.. Kiran bedi is not even in the BJP.. And what about vijay goel n vijay malhotra.. Will they step aside after years of sitting in opposition.. I think it would be unfair to bring in a new face, even if its remotely possible.
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Old October 6th, 2013, 09:12 AM
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Re: Who will win assembly elections in 2013?

No reason why having a good/credible/strong candidate projected as PM/CM should not be advantageous. Here, Cong scores over BJP in Dilli. Vijay Goel does not come across as someone with that thing in him. Bedi is better placed as a face to be projected but Mr. Goel and Co will not let that happen. At least not easily.

I think BJP will retain MP and CG. And win RJ. Delhi may be neck-2-neck. I dont have an idea about MZ.
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Old October 7th, 2013, 05:03 AM
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Re: Who will win assembly elections in 2013?

Delhi will be hng assembly with BJP as the single largest party . Aam Admi Party is going to take a big chunk of votes away from Congress and BJP .

Other than that , BJP will win MP & Rajasthan comfortably and get a slight majority in CG against Congress. Mizoram will go the Congress way.
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Old October 13th, 2013, 04:41 PM
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Re: Who will win assembly elections in 2013?

ye Rahul ka muhn ka shape kaisa laga raha hai first post ke picture main.

kuchh to resemble ho raha hai yaad nahi aa raha kya...
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Old October 13th, 2013, 04:49 PM
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Re: Who will win assembly elections in 2013?

Ab tu uska muslim vote gayab karwayega kya
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ye Rahul ka muhn ka shape kaisa laga raha hai first post ke picture main.

kuchh to resemble ho raha hai yaad nahi aa raha kya...
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Old November 13th, 2013, 02:26 AM
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Smile Re: Who will win assembly elections in 2013?

BJP for sure. Modi should be given a chance. Enough of corruption and atrocities happening already. Lets see what he can make a difference to the society.
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