eCharcha.Com   Support eCharcha.Com. Click on sponsor ad to shop online!

Advertise Here

Go Back   eCharcha.Com > Current Affairs > Indian Politics

Notices

Indian Politics Our national time-pass!

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old December 8th, 2013, 10:16 AM
Origmos's Avatar
Origmos Origmos is offline
The Destroyer of Maya
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 2,568
Origmos has a reputation beyond reputeOrigmos has a reputation beyond reputeOrigmos has a reputation beyond reputeOrigmos has a reputation beyond reputeOrigmos has a reputation beyond reputeOrigmos has a reputation beyond reputeOrigmos has a reputation beyond reputeOrigmos has a reputation beyond reputeOrigmos has a reputation beyond reputeOrigmos has a reputation beyond reputeOrigmos has a reputation beyond repute
A case of clear sour grapes : secret Congis playing down Modi in their defeat!

Quote:
A minimal Modi factor
Dec 7, 2013, 12.00AM IST [ Dipankar Gupta ]

Flaunting cleavage in elections doesn`t work that well any more.

The big question after the recent state elections is whether Narendra Modi is a glossy wrapper or has he actually sweetened the candy inside. Current post-poll wisdom suggests that we may have to scale down our estimation of the Modi factor. BJP may win in Delhi, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh, but has Modi raised the incremental margin of victory for his party? The truth will soon be out!

Squeaking past the Congress in Chattisgarh, as some exit surveys suggest, is not good enough. This would merely be a repeat of BJP`s 2008 performance when Modi was yet to acquire a national presence. In Madhya Pradesh, projections show that BJP will trump Congress by a healthy 5% in vote share, but how different is that from the figures of the previous election?

In Delhi, BJP had to dump Vijay Goel for Harsh Vardhan because the Modi magic needed a credible backup. In Rajasthan, according to most predictions, BJP will win handsomely — but Vasundhara Raje`s contribution to this end cannot be sneezed at. She was a clear favourite in the state, well before Modi`s elevation as a prime ministerial candidate. These are, of course, only exit poll figures and could be easily rubbished when actual results come out.

Yet, even in this short twilight period before the final score is in, it is interesting to note how parties react to the slightest change in perceived fortunes. The Congress has taken heart from select election predictions in Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh to yank up its sagging AŠlan. Even so it still needs someone to lead the troops, but where is the suitable general in the family? The best person for the job is actually Sonia Gandhi, but she shoves her son to the front lines instead.

If in Delhi Sheila Dikshit`s brigade is walking around with drooping shoulders, it is because the Aam Aadmi Party is all set to make them look silly. Congress must now pay the piper a hefty price for making light of corruption charges in the capital.

Losing outright to the BJP would have been better any day. To cede territory to an upstart party whose members have neither beaconed cars nor security detail is a sharp drop in status for Congress. By all accounts then, if BJP romps home victorious in Delhi, it will not be on account of Modi but because Kejriwal is closing in on Sheila Dikshit`s turf.

A few popular views can be set to rest, even at this early stage. Ajit Jogi is not a pushover, even though Congress biggies in Delhi took their time to rally behind him. In other words, a strong local leader can stick it out even in a dynastic party. BJP`s Raman Singh could well start a third term in Chhattisgarh, though he is L K Advani`s nominee and not a home-grown political notable. The BJP, therefore, is as guilty as Congress in foisting state chief ministers from afar, and getting away with it.

Regardless of what the final picture might be, this election shows that it is hard to beat up today`s voters with antagonisms of the past. Earlier cleavages such as between rural and urban, or between workers and capitalists, or even between castes, no longer heat politics the way they used to. In fact, when was caste last heard of in election campaigns over the past five years or so? Even BJP has junked the Hindu-Muslim divide and opted instead for the development mantra.

`Cleavage politics`, or campaigning around society`s fault lines, was considered to be democracy`s staple for nearly 50 years. When this notion was first formulated by S M Lipset, an American scholar, it won immediate respect. If this notion is veering a bit off course in India it is because we are doing democracy a little differently today.

Today the Badals in Punjab rarely recall the Panth and Akhilesh Yadav in Uttar Pradesh dishes out computer tablets rather than caste war. There are good reasons for these changes to happen. Rural-urban distinctions are not that clear any more, nor do caste ties lock people into the ways of the past. This is why aspirations converge across the country regardless of class and community.

Everywhere, and for everybody, the road to the future is via education, health and civic services. As a result, political leaders are now forced to compete against one another in expressing this social urge rather than pitting those on one side of a social cleavage against the other. Dividing voters along old fault lines was once as easy as parting one`s hair, but not any longer. To a significant extent then, it is now a question of how political parties address collective aspirations rather than sectional causes.

Congress is no longer a rural party much in the same way as BJP is not a captive of urban shopkeepers. The support structures of these organisations promiscuously poach on each other`s territory making politics today almost `cleavage neutral`. It is the government`s performance and ability to deliver that is now being graded by voters. They are no longer as wound up and excited about caste, class and community membership.

Experts have yet to wise up, but election previews show that flaunting cleavage in politics doesn`t work that well anymore.

(The writer is a sociologist.)

http://m.timesofindia.com/home/opini...w/26976281.cms

I met my old grandpa today. Even he gave up hope for his old favorite Congress. Ha ha.

Today is one of my happiest days of this life.

No matter what happens in 2014. Today is a hallmark in the history of Indian Politics.
__________________
Sorry for the inconvenience!
Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks


Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
 
Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
The Cognitive Dissonance of Congis Origmos Indian Politics 4 November 19th, 2013 12:46 AM
Sour Kshetra ! sonia TV and Radio 12 September 21st, 2012 12:55 PM
Kambli - sour grapes ashdoc Sports 60 January 13th, 2011 01:09 PM
Contract Position: Clear Case Developer echarcha Jobs 0 July 28th, 2003 01:10 PM


All times are GMT -7. The time now is 05:20 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.7.2
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Site Copyright © eCharcha.Com 2000-2012.